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On the planet of Foreign currency trading, discovering efficient methods to maximise earnings and reduce dangers is vital. Two widespread approaches are utilizing the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) technique and imply reversion that are carried out in our Alphabet AI buying and selling advisor.
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Alphabet EA is an algorithmic buying and selling advisor that we added to the Market in November 2023 to automate buying and selling on the MetaTrader 5 platform. After a yr of its operation, we gathered helpful information that helped consider the technique’s effectiveness. On this publish, I’ll evaluate the outcomes of actual buying and selling with backtesting information for a similar interval to see how properly the testing matches precise efficiency.
Buying and selling Outcomes for 2024
Actual Buying and selling
For 2024, the Alphabet EA achieved the next outcomes:
- Internet revenue: $713.66.
- Most drawdown: 10.9%.
- Whole trades: 211.
- Revenue issue: 3.38.
- Common commerce measurement: $3.38.
The actual buying and selling chart exhibits regular progress in capital with solely occasional and minor drawdowns. The utmost drawdown was simply 10.9%, indicating a low degree of threat. The general capital progress for the yr exceeded 200%, which is a wonderful outcome for a long-term technique.
MetaTrader 5 Testing Outcomes
Concurrently, I performed backtesting on historic information to guage how properly actual buying and selling outcomes match the forecasts:
- Internet revenue: $697.91.
- Most drawdown: 14.67%.
- Whole trades: 197.
- Revenue issue: 3.98.
- Common commerce measurement: $3.54.
The backtesting outcomes are virtually equivalent to the actual buying and selling outcomes, confirming the algorithm’s effectiveness. The backtest confirmed barely decrease earnings and a barely larger drawdown, however these variations are insignificant. This confirms that the EA works reliably on each historic information and in dwell buying and selling.
Actual Buying and selling vs Testing Comparability
Under is a chart evaluating the revenue curves from actual buying and selling and backtesting. As you possibly can see, the curves are virtually equivalent. This means that the technique performs equally in 95% of circumstances throughout each testing and dwell buying and selling.
Moreover, let’s take a more in-depth take a look at the chart based mostly on trades from the previous few months. Within the desk beneath, I highlighted the trades that match between the take a look at and the actual buying and selling studies. As proven, the vast majority of trades coincide in each time and outcomes.
All through 2024, the outcomes of actual buying and selling and testing remained virtually equivalent. The common drawdown and revenue are practically the identical, which demonstrates the technique’s reliability.
- Actual revenue: $713.66 versus take a look at revenue: $697.91.
- Actual buying and selling drawdown: 10.9% versus take a look at drawdown: 14.67%.
- Revenue issue: 3.38 in actual buying and selling and three.98 in backtesting.
The minimal variations between testing and dwell buying and selling outcomes verify the prime quality of the algorithm and its capability to adapt to altering market situations.
Conclusions and Classes Realized
After a yr of operation, Alphabet EA proved its effectiveness and resilience to market fluctuations. The EA confirmed glorious ends in each actual buying and selling and backtesting. The low drawdown and regular capital progress make it a extremely dependable device for long-term automated buying and selling.
Plans for the Future
In 2025, I plan to check Alphabet EA on further forex pairs and completely different market situations. There may be additionally an intention to optimize sure parameters to additional enhance effectivity and cut back dangers.
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